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Saturday, November 5, 2011

The Herman Cain harassment Train

"For everything that is hidden will eventually be brought into the open, and every secret will be brought to light."  Jesus in Mark 4:22, New Living Translation.

Herman Cain is the latest and most mysterious success story out of the GOP presidential candidates.  Starting with his Florida straw poll upset over Rick Perry and Mitt Romney on September 24, he launched to the top of the GOP candidates and has remained there.  His 9-9-9 tax plan, despite it's need for work, has been a major attraction to many Conservative voters.  Even a few Independents like myself have taken notice.  But lately, an onslaught of media attention has occurred due to some accusations of sexual harassment made towards Mr. Cain.

Let's review the facts about the Cain harassment issue, in chronological order:
  • Politico breaks the news that two female employees under Cain were sexually harassed in the 1990's. (http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/67194.html)
  • Cain responds, claims that the reports are "baseless and totally false." (http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/67203.html)
  • Cain, in an effort to maintain and save face, appears on multiple news and talk programs, on several networks early in the week.
  • The Washington Post suggests Cain should be quiet on the issue, suggests he may be making matters worse by appearing on shows to defend himself after stating on Monday that there was "enough said" on the issue. (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/why-herman-cain-needs-to-stop-talking--immediately/2011/11/01/gIQAJoW0dM_blog.html)
  • Cain then blames Perry for the claims and the media for beefing them up.
  • One of Cain's accusers speaks out through her lawyer, who claims that she doesn't want to revisit the matter. (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/03/herman-cain-sexual-harassment-accuser_n_1073413.html)
  • Despite the allegations, several polls have indicated Cain has maintained his momentum, and his flow of donations. (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/11/04/cain-tries-to-get-back-to-business-as-usual-amid-harassment-allegations/?test=latestnews)
So why has Cain survived all of this?  Honestly, it is anybody's guess.  It is astonishing to anyone who is not following Cain to see really how well his campaign has survived to the matter.  However, a New York Magazine article (http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2011/10/why_the_herman_cain_sexual_har.html) cites four reasons why it will likely blow over.  Here they are, in my own words:

1.  Conservative are throwing support behind Cain in droves.
2.  Liberals don't consider Cain a threat.
3.  The victims will probably remain silent (in fact, two out of three have to this point)
4.  The events in question occurred over a decade ago.

Will Cain survive?  only time will tell.  Bill Clinton survived impeachment proceedings during his presidency in the 90's for events that occurred while in office, and he has survived to be a notable, albeit somewhat quiet voice in the media today.  But the circumstances were different, so your guess is as good as mine.

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